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COVID-19


Zed Head

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As it stands, things are very clear, I think, on what's going on with the COVID-19 pandemic.  It's not even being addressed as a health issue anymore, by those at the very top.  But it's still interesting to keep up with what's happening, like watching a tsunami wave growing.

Remember when various state governments were going to ban travelers from New York state?  Ponder these graphs from MDMetrix.  A person can make the increased testing argument but the graphs should drive a person to learn more.  Hospitalization rates are up too.

https://covid-19.mdmetrix.com/grid.html?list=all_cases

New York state is going to be the safest place on the planet pretty soon.  16 states on their 14 day quarantine list as of now.  It started at eight, on the 25th of June.  And one of those, Washington, was apparently a mistake, it was removed a day later.

https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-travel-advisory

 

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And surviving it is not the only thing to worry about.  Useful numbers are finally being generated about how many people actually come out the other side in the same shape they were before they got it.  Not many.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jul/06/coronavirus-covid-19-mild-symptoms-who

"Another troubling phenomenon now coming into focus is that of “long-haul” Covid-19 sufferers – people whose experience of the illness has lasted months. For a Dutch report published earlier this month (an excerpt is translated here) researchers surveyed 1,622 Covid-19 patients with an average age of 53, who reported a number of enduring symptoms, including intense fatigue (88%) persistent shortness of breath (75%) and chest pressure (45%). Ninety-one per cent of the patients weren’t hospitalized, suggesting they suffered these side-effects despite their cases of Covid-19 qualifying as “mild”. While 85% of the surveyed patients considered themselves generally healthy before having Covid-19, only 6% still did so one month or more after getting the virus."

The "here" translation - 

https://www.biomax.com/lib/press-releases/Initial-Result-Announcment_English.pdf

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It's clear that we're still learning about this virus and its effects and after-effects. There are complicating factors such as blood clotting, lingering lung problems, appearance of infections in younger people...there's a list of new stuff emerging as weeks go by.

But IMO it all boils down to what I said from the start:

  • This virus isn't going anywhere. We'll be living with it from now on.
  • We will develop measures to mitigate it, such as medications or vaccines.
  • We haven't developed those mitigations YET.
  • We will continue to learn more about it.

So for the time being, the best thing to do is pretend it's March, minimize exposure in public, and wear a mask whenever you step out of the house and may encounter other people. 

I realize people are tired of this, but as the sage and philosopher The Outlaw Josey Wales said: "Dyin' ain't much of a way to make a living, boy."

Cover up, minimize your exposure and keep chuggin'.  It will improve eventually, but it hasn't yet. 

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Won't be too many games in New York state.  22 states are on the quarantine list as of now.   

https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-travel-advisory

The travel advisory is effective at 12:01 am on Thursday, June 25, 2020. If you have traveled from within one of the designated states with significant community spread, you must quarantine when you enter New York for 14 days from the last travel within such designated state, provided on the date you enter into New York State that such state met the criteria for requiring such quarantine.

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This is so mind-boggling I don't think the mainstream media knows what to do with it.  20,000 cheering people sitting next to each other for 3 or 4 hours.  One to two weeks from now, July-August, should be another indicator of how super-spreading events work.   Really hard to wrap the brain around it.  It's everything that could be wrong except be indoors.  I hope it was a windy day.

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/jul/16/nascar-race-crowd-tennessee-coronavirus

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