Everything posted by motorman7
-
COVID-19
I agree, I think it will be similar to flu but worse for elderly and not so bad for the young. Only problem is that it will be in addition to flu, so will probably be an add on to our current virus mortality rate. By next year you will most likely get a coronavirus shot along with your flu shot. Both will be 30% effective.
-
COVID-19
Nice chart, but I think the yellow line just reflects the number of test kits being distributed and used world wide as we are finally catching on. China was way ahead of us and everyone else on that. Both US and S.Korea had first detected cases and death back in Jan 20. Hard for me to believe that those first cases were isolated and slowly being passed along (as the yellow line shows) as this is quite contagious. Personally, I think the real world cases would more closely track the Violet line shown below. Were test kits fully available and every person with 'flu like' symptoms checked, we would see a much more smooth line, closer to the orange line of China in the beginning. Without preventative measures to restrain the virus outside of China, the real number most likely exceeded the China cases back in late February and I am sure beyond what the yellow dots show today. The wild card is an estimated 86% of COVID-19 carriers not being affected by the virus or showing any symptoms, which means now the numbers on the left should/could all be multiplied by 6. Also, me and my entire office could be infected and none of us know it. Between work, Costco, church, movies, restaurants, etc, exposure is virtually unavoidable. Having said all this I think everyone would be well served to focus on keeping their immune system in good order. Personally, I am making sure I get plenty of sleep, eating well, minimizing sugar (compromises the immune system), eating my probiotics, and washing my hands much better than I used to. Just helping the body do it's job against the virus. Anyway, nice to have a forum to discuss this. It helps me to hear all sides on this as it is definitely on everyone's mind.
-
COVID-19
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-the-world-focuses-on-coronavirus-dont-forget-about-the-deadly-flu-2020-02-06 I'm still having a hard time being worried about this when I see these numbers for the flu. They are not even in the same ballpark. https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-undiagnosed-spread.html "And 86% of those infected experience no symptoms." I will take that over the flu any day. This means we should probably multiply the number infected by 6 to get a more accurate number, also. https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-australian-scientists-map-immune-070507339.html "Their research, published in Nature Medicine journal on Tuesday, shows people are recovering from the new virus like they would from the flu"
-
COVID-19
https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/17/health/coronavirus-united-states-deaths/index.html You have to love the media. Check out this statement in the article above..."and the death toll continues rising." Really! When does that ever happen. Personally, I will be a little more shocked when the death toll shrinks....People coming back to life would be pretty impressive. I guess at that point, the Zombie apocalypse is upon us.
-
"The Orange"
Got the exhaust manifold back with ceramic coating. Also picked up an air galley from JDM-Car-Parts.com. Will tap the ports and loosely install. Will do final install when motor is in car.
-
Finally Got My Garage Mahal!!!
I am guessing at least 12 feet high. There is a lot of empty space up there.
-
Finally Got My Garage Mahal!!!
Yes, I am thinking that I can even get a lift in their. That would be nice. Also looking very forward to retirement. So much to do out there.
-
COVID-19
Funny, hadn't thought of that term. Actually, I like it from the standpoint that its' intention is to build up a societies anti-bodies naturally. The science is that there may be a larger percentage of deaths in the short term, but in the long term there will be an overall greater society resistance due to the extensive exposure and fewer death in the long run. (percent is appropriate in this case as the population sizes are very different between the US and UK). Honestly, I don' think you can escape it. Between Costco, Ralphs, family, etc....we are just too connected as a people. Yes, this has crossed my mind as well, fabricated by some Gen-Xer worried about not receiving social security as they get older. Also thought it might be a ploy developed by the 1% at Davos to get the Fed Rate down to 0% so they can borrow Billions and charge 3% to the masses. 3% of billions is a lot of money. (Just thought I would increase my use of percentages here ?) OR.....don't get me started.
-
Finally Got My Garage Mahal!!!
Boy, that garage is just absolutely fabulous, very jealous here. Thought I would share a couple pictures of my future garage here. Wife and I bought a place in Boise Idaho and are renting it out until we are ready to retire which is probably about a year and a half from now. Garage has 1500 sq-ft of space and a large RV section. Pretty sure I can fit all of my cars in here. Our Jeep Grand Cherokee looks kind of small in there.
-
COVID-19
Definitely caution is in order and I think the awareness of the virus spread will also help reduce flu deaths which will be an added benefit. Regarding exponential growth, I think the exponential growth is in test kits and testing, not new cases (although that is growing as well). I am in complete agreement with the John Hopkins professor who stated the the number of cases in the US is actually in the 50K to 500K range, and I would lean to the high side. The coronavirus has gone pretty much unchecked in the US for the last 3 months and with such a connected society, it is hard for me to believe the that the number is just in the low thousands. My personal opinion is that a large number of people have had it and moved on, thinking they had the flu. I would also contend that a number of the 8200 flu deaths this year were actually coronavirus deaths, just not tested. The media is just catching up really. Yes, it is a novel virus and has sadly killed a significant number of people, I do however question our response. It will be interesting the follow the UK's data versus the US data. Personally, I think they are using the best approach for the long term, but time will tell.
-
COVID-19
Personally, I think the media uses percentages to confuse the masses. My use of absolute numbers was very purposeful and intentional and a true reflection of reality. If two people have died of coronavirus and and one more dies what will sell more newspapers or make a better headline: 1) Coranavirus deaths in the US increase by 50% in one day! or 2) One more individual has succumbed to the coronavirus? The use of percentages should always put you on alert. Also, when you see high percentages, typically your sample size is small. When you read about companies growing by large percentages, the first thing that you should notice is that it is a small company. I don't mean to sound so heartless, and I am in the demographic that needs to be a bit more cautious, and I have been. However, I live by the data....this is also why I don't gamble or play the lottery among other things.
-
COVID-19
Unfortunately in all this, I am an engineer and am trained to just look at stats and data. Having looked at the data, the whole Coronavirus scare makes no sense to me. To date (March 15) for all of 2020 (Approximately 75 days) there are 60 Coronavirus deaths in the US. Meanwhile in the US for all of 2020 there have been roughly: 8,200 Flu related deaths. 9,800 suicides 7,500 Automobile accident deaths 14,300 Opioid related deaths. Also, Coronavirus is no more deadly than the flu for people under 65 based on data from China an South Korea. Cases are not 'spiking', they are just getting more test kits and are now able to differentiate between flu and coronaviris. Coronavirus has been spreading unchecked for the last 3 months in the US without significant damage. Most people have passed it off as the flu before the hype reached full swing. The number in the US infected ranges anywhere from 50K to 500K according to a John Hopkins professor. I would agree with that number to the high side on this. I think Boris Johnson of the UK is the only individual that gives me hope for sanity in this crazy world. Personally, my bet is that the coronavirus will mutate into the shadovirus. This is the virus that will make us all afraid of our own shadows. Cure will be to avoid direct sunshine and all lights inside your home. Just my thoughts. OK, back into isolation
-
To buy or not to buy...that is the question
Finally got my struts finished up......now I just need a body to attach them to. Calipers are rebuilt, all new pads and shoes.
-
"The Orange"
For prep, it was mostly wire wheel on the end fittings and any overspray that was on the tubes. I used 220 grit sandpaper on the tubes themselves till the tubes were mostly clean. It's best if you can use a 6 foot box so the tubes only have to bend in half. Bending into thirds because you only have a 4 foot box is tricky and not recommended. the bends end up being where the engine to trans area is and there are lots of bends there already , so gets confusing. Also, when you straighten the tubes, the plating will crack in the bend area when you straighten them. You can touch this are up with gold paint. With the bend in the tunnel, it is not super noticeable. These tubes will be 'Rack plated' so don't send your bulk parts (nuts and bolts) with the tubes, send bulk parts separately. There is a Lot charge for the Rack plating, so you can add a few extra tubes and it's essentially free. The tubes in the picture are for two cars. Also, very thrilled with how the plating turned out. Coloring, rainbow and brightness appear to be just perfect.
-
"The Orange"
Fuel and brake lines came back from Sav-On Plating. Parts look awesome and cost was very reasonable.
-
"The Orange"
Yes, I didn't realize that the floor pan was so bad. It was covered up with Dynamat on top and undercoating on the bottom. The rust in the frame rails was obviously pretty bad as well and not visible until it was opened up. For the previous restorations, the body and paint work was almost exactly 1/3 the cost of the total restoration cost. For this one it will be more....almost half I am guessing. Fortunately, the owner has a good number of parts on hand which should make things go easier.
-
To buy or not to buy...that is the question
A few pics from the paint shop. This is the final primer. After it dries thoroughly shop will do final block sand and then paint white
-
"The Orange"
-
"The Orange"
I used the Scotch 33+ electrical tape. First I cleaned the original wrap with paint thinner, let dry, then did the wrap with about 50% overlap. I did remove some of the original tape that was in bad condition, but for the most part, aside from the dirt and oil, it was in pretty good condition. The 'shinyness' of the tape was actually very similar to the original wrap. In fact I had to pay pretty close attention during the wrap as it was almost indistinguishable from the original.
-
"The Orange"
Cleaning up the engine electrical harness here. There was the usual dirt and oil, but also some orange overspray that had to be re-moved. Replaced most of the terminals and yellowed covers with new terminals and covers from vintage connections: http://www.vintageconnections.com/. Also, re-wrapped the harness with new tape.
-
"The Orange"
Bad news, good news on the tube plating. Turns out that the local plating shop was not able to accommodate the tubes in their 5 foot long tanks due to the 'Anode configuration'. So, I went back and picked up all the tubes and figured I would send them to Sav-On plating. They are the ones that do my batch plating for the smaller parts. They do a great job with very nice results. So, after chasing down a large box here at work, I shipped the tubes off to the plater. The good news here is that in spite of the added shipping charges, $75 each way, the cost to do all of the tubes using their rack plating set-up is just $165. I was paying double that for my local plater on the long tubes and I did not care for their work as much. So, turns out, I should get nicely plated tubes for just a little less than what i was paying my not so good local plater.
-
"The Orange"
-
Replaced Carbs?????????
Had a similar issue where the car would idle very high then low and oscillate back and forth with high and low RPM, gas pedal non-responsive. Problem was a large open hole in the back of the balance tube where one of the fittings (PCV?) was missing. Once I plugged it, she ran like a champ.
-
"The Orange"
I used the wire wheel on the end fittings. 220 grit to clean and sand the tubing. There was some undercoating and overspray on the tubing also. I used the wire wheel on those portions.
-
"The Orange"
Gee, this almost looks artistic with the stains on my garage floor. Fuel and brake lines cleaned, sanded and prepped for plating. New plater has larger tanks so the long lines are just loosely bent in half instead of thirds. This works better as the bend in is now in the trans tunnel area.