motorman7

I think this is a great article. https://www.yahoo.com/news/sweden-found-solution-coronavirus-103003618.html Also this one https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/two-academic-brothers-have-a-plan-for-putting-the-country-back-to-work-in-just-weeks Time to start looking at solutions on how to exit this quarantine instead of running around and pointing fingers. The way we move on from this point is very key.

I use this mask when working on the wire wheel or when grinding and debris is flying. Super comfortable and quick to put on. I do, however, hate the ear plugs because they get tangled too easily- so i cut them off. I use big ear muffs instead.

Got the differential cleaned up and painted.

Cleaned and painted the drive shaft today......now I just need a car ?

Same here. This is always the longest part of the project. Engine, suspension and drivetrain are all ready to install once the body shows up.

Here are the latest pics from the body shop. We are pretty far along on the outside portion of the body, doglegs and inner panels have been fixed along with a number of other rust areas. Once the floor pans are finished up we should be in pretty good shape.

Will be interesting to see how they lift the shelter in place decrees. This article brings up some good points. https://www.dailywire.com/news/professors-push-back-on-pandemic-models-be-honest-about-what-happens-after-lockdowns-are-lifted Just an idea: given the state of our economy and unemployment, I think it would be smart to lift the shelter in place at the end of April starting with those individuals that are 30 and under. Would be nice to get movies and restaurants open (and other businesses), while still applying some form of social distancing. Maybe every other table empty at restaurants, two seats in between movie goers. I would still restrict large group gatherings. Then after two weeks, make the age restriction 35 and over...and so on every two weeks. (So I will be waiting a while here, for what it is worth). There needs to be some way of portioning out the herd-immunity without overwhelming the medical system, assuming a vaccine is not available in short order. Somewhat unrelated: The geek in me has now set up an excel chart to track and graph the deaths in each individual state to see where each state is at on the bell curve. Also, will be interesting to see if we get 'double bells' (two side by side bells) when lockdown ends. Unfortunately, this is going to get very ugly over the next two weeks. The US confirmed cases already tell that story.

Yes, it was a glitch, that's why I took the screen shot. Just surprised me to see their data missing.

Looks like the US just found a cure. Here is the latest John Hopkins update. Note time stamp in lower left corner. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

This thought keeps running through my mind...If we shelter in place real well, does that mean we get to shelter in place longer? Since we are trying to flatten the curve, the better we shelter, the flatter the curve. I don't think our country will have that problem, but it does give you something to think about. From the numbers, it looks like California has done a pretty good job so far based on the low numbers relative to population size. I do, however, think this is the calm before the storm for CA. We are just now starting to ramp up and will probably start seeing New York sized numbers by the beginning of next week.

Cleaned and painted the CV shafts this weekend. I painted them with 'aluminum' spray paint which I think may be a bit too shiny. May re-do this in flat aluminum.

Cleaned and painted the front grill. Also, got a new fuel pump and installed that. Looks much nicer and closer to the original than the standard auto part fuel pump. I had an old original style pump that I removed the screws and fittings from and sent out with the last batch of plating parts. I will probably swap out the clear zinc fasteners and fitting for the yellow zinc parts once they come back from the plating shop just to get a bit closer to the original look.

It would be nice if they would at least take a 'guesstimate' of Total Covid-19 Cases. I would think they could at least have a chart with upper and lower limit estimates. This chart is a bit misleading. It is real exact data, just not the true complete picture.

I took the average of 75% and 86% to come up with roughly 80% Asymptomatic. 80% is 4 out of 5, that is 4 out of every 5 are Asymptomatic. Thus only 1 in 5 are Symptomatic. To get the Total number of COVID-19 infected, I multiplied the number of Asymptomatic (1 in 5) by 5 to get the Total Covid-19 infected. That is 5X Note: this number does not include those that are just mildly sick from COVID-19 and don't get tested or thought perhaps they had the flu. Thus the "easily 5X".

It shows the rate of Test Kit Production which is very important. However, it has no relevance to Mortality rate. As for news articles: https://nypost.com/2020/03/17/86-of-people-with-coronavirus-are-walking-around-undetected-study-says/ “Stealth” coronavirus cases are fueling the pandemic, with a staggering 86% of people infected walking around undetected, a new study says. Six of every seven cases – 86% — were not reported in China before travel restrictions were implemented, driving the spread of the virus, according to a study Monday in the journal Science. https://www.bmj.com/content/368/bmj.m1165 In an open letter to the authorities in the Tuscany region,1 Romagnani wrote that the great majority of people infected with covid-19—50-75%—were asymptomatic, but represented “a formidable source” of contagion. “The percentage of people infected, even if asymptomatic, in the population is very high and represents the majority of cases, particularly, but not only, among young people. Isolation of asymptomatics is essential for controlling the spread of the virus and the seriousness of the epidemic,” he said ___________ For what it is worth, I am an engineer and would consider myself an expert when it comes to data and statistics. I have made my living from it for the last 35 years. An expert in that I have made presentations to rooms of NASA scientists and engineers just to name a few, so I am extremely comfortable with data and charts.

As I said before, The chart above is a chart of Test Kit Production and has little relevance to the actual number of cases of COVID-19,which is easily 5X higher than this chart shows. Not sure why you keep showing this chart. It will be irrelevant until the number of kits equals those that show symptoms and are tested. Then you can multiply by 5 and get a rough idea of actual cases. ASYMPTOMATIC is the big issue here. I have said this before, the item that makes this virus unique is that most people are ASYPMTOMATIC. Italy said 75% of people are Asymptomatic, China says 86%. This means roughly 4 out of 5 people will exhibit no symptoms at all, NONE! Those with NO symptoms will most likely not go to get checked. In the US, they won’t even look at you unless you have some kind of symptom. Italy said their biggest problem was Asymptomatic spreaders. They don’t even know they are carriers, and thus exert less or no caution. Germany tested those that were in contact with Symptomatic spreaders, so their number includes Asymptomatic people which is why their death rate number is so low.

Cleaning and prepping small parts here. Also sending out final batch of parts to the plating shop. I am surprised that Motorsports does not yellow zinc plate their engine parts (two shown below) but it works out fine as I am sending parts to the pate shop anyway. Disassembled the bumpers to prep for new chrome plating. Looks like the bumperette rubber is in descent shape and can be re-used. That is good news as those peices are pretty hard to find. The trim rubber is cracked and oxidized so we will replace those.

Personally, I think the April 12 date is a gutsy call and the right way to go. People need a definitive date. Closing a state ‘indefinitely’ leaves no hope, no goal, and will result in people violating that order at will. I can tolerate just about anything for two weeks. I cannot tolerate ‘indefinitely’ (Mr. Newsome). The thing that still fascinates me is the how we are all avoiding the Big Monstrous Elephant in the room. During the 2017-2018 flu season, there were over 60,000 flu deaths in the US alone, and this is AFTER we have ‘developed a societal immunitly’ and have a vaccine. That translates to over 165 flu deaths a day, for every day of the year. In that the flu has a ‘season’, you are looking at 300 to 400 deaths per day from the flu during that season. Those are pretty big numbers that we are all pretty OK with. Companies are not shutting down, sick people are still going to work (unfortunately), life goes on. It’s called the ‘lullaby effect’. We have heard it so many times, had the shots, heard all the warnings year after year, so we are OK with it. Check out the numbers, they are large: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html I will be curious to see if the coronavirus, which does not have a vaccine, causes more deaths than the flu that we are currently very comfortable with. The bottom line is that you will come in contact with it at some time in your life. We are just too connected as a society. Fortunately, we have given ourselves a little time to prepare for what is soon to come. I am hoping we are ready and those that need attention will get it. Hopefully we have learned the importance of washing our hands, keeping safe distance, and staying home from work when sick among other things, from this situation. That is about as political as I will get here. Time to start thinking about the cars.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/why-nobel-laureate-predicts-quicker-210318391.html Another very good article. It's good when people use data to analyze a problem instead of their raw emotion.

Best article I have read on this whole situation. Well done!

Coil spring RH and LH should probably be FWD and AFT

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/lower-coronavirus-death-rate-estimates/ This article shows lower mortality rates (still higher than flu) for those with 'symptomatic' infections. Interesting to know what the rate would be if you include the asymptomatic. Asymptomatic is a wild card. What causes that? Blood type? Overall health? Diet? Gene's? Time will tell, hoping for the best.

I agree, I think it will be similar to flu but worse for elderly and not so bad for the young. Only problem is that it will be in addition to flu, so will probably be an add on to our current virus mortality rate. By next year you will most likely get a coronavirus shot along with your flu shot. Both will be 30% effective.

Nice chart, but I think the yellow line just reflects the number of test kits being distributed and used world wide as we are finally catching on. China was way ahead of us and everyone else on that. Both US and S.Korea had first detected cases and death back in Jan 20. Hard for me to believe that those first cases were isolated and slowly being passed along (as the yellow line shows) as this is quite contagious. Personally, I think the real world cases would more closely track the Violet line shown below. Were test kits fully available and every person with 'flu like' symptoms checked, we would see a much more smooth line, closer to the orange line of China in the beginning. Without preventative measures to restrain the virus outside of China, the real number most likely exceeded the China cases back in late February and I am sure beyond what the yellow dots show today. The wild card is an estimated 86% of COVID-19 carriers not being affected by the virus or showing any symptoms, which means now the numbers on the left should/could all be multiplied by 6. Also, me and my entire office could be infected and none of us know it. Between work, Costco, church, movies, restaurants, etc, exposure is virtually unavoidable. Having said all this I think everyone would be well served to focus on keeping their immune system in good order. Personally, I am making sure I get plenty of sleep, eating well, minimizing sugar (compromises the immune system), eating my probiotics, and washing my hands much better than I used to. Just helping the body do it's job against the virus. Anyway, nice to have a forum to discuss this. It helps me to hear all sides on this as it is definitely on everyone's mind.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-the-world-focuses-on-coronavirus-dont-forget-about-the-deadly-flu-2020-02-06 I'm still having a hard time being worried about this when I see these numbers for the flu. They are not even in the same ballpark. https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-undiagnosed-spread.html "And 86% of those infected experience no symptoms." I will take that over the flu any day. This means we should probably multiply the number infected by 6 to get a more accurate number, also. https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-australian-scientists-map-immune-070507339.html "Their research, published in Nature Medicine journal on Tuesday, shows people are recovering from the new virus like they would from the flu"